Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.978497 3.592151 4.280211 5.105847 6.066461 7.145557 8.446046
2025-04-06 2.089135 2.859670 3.818332 5.086227 6.704968 8.687178 11.280803
2025-04-13 1.535422 2.347824 3.453101 5.038875 7.222583 10.086384 14.080946
2025-04-20 1.264526 2.124967 3.386836 5.322348 8.154629 12.075010 17.820758
2025-04-27 1.044925 1.914710 3.279900 5.501765 8.929829 13.899624 21.494602
2025-05-04 0.898210 1.779730 3.249720 5.769759 9.839581 15.976714 25.691493
2025-05-11 0.733234 1.572473 3.059294 5.741870 10.270331 17.361385 28.966562
2025-05-18 0.577814 1.343633 2.785924 5.523804 10.350582 18.189653 31.435402
2025-05-25 0.450524 1.136809 2.510480 5.251318 10.290346 18.764529 33.522890
2025-06-01 0.376344 1.021946 2.385934 5.228621 10.647603 20.036177 36.810824
2025-06-08 0.320899 0.934711 2.299449 5.261564 11.099796 21.493422 40.499353
2025-06-15 0.270907 0.847138 2.195414 5.241497 11.444083 22.780707 43.978100
2025-06-22 0.213600 0.725945 1.997758 5.005772 11.360469 23.322133 46.248745
2025-06-29 0.180191 0.659699 1.913676 5.000021 11.729794 24.719189 50.142340
2025-07-06 0.150603 0.595051 1.820265 4.958218 12.017888 25.983176 53.879410
2025-07-13 0.139718 0.585419 1.864389 5.239596 13.012227 28.670342 60.421237
2025-07-20 0.125748 0.561216 1.865342 5.417275 13.798777 31.005849 66.443555
2025-07-27 0.116374 0.550126 1.900092 5.681958 14.800937 33.836497 73.577192
2025-08-03 0.098950 0.503196 1.823616 5.654530 15.141059 35.352071 78.252732
2025-08-10 0.079390 0.439635 1.683622 5.439388 15.023002 35.912035 81.077606
2025-08-17 0.062242 0.377761 1.533369 5.170546 14.743978 36.105155 83.169257
2025-08-24 0.052964 0.346703 1.475289 5.148156 15.057148 37.579909 87.942943
2025-08-31 0.045985 0.323426 1.438278 5.180660 15.509067 39.385620 93.499754